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At the end of the last century, Stephen Hawking (1942-2018) mentioned that ‘the next century will be the century of complexity’. Indeed, many contemporary problems faced by Earth sciences and society are complex (e.g. climate change, disaster risk, energy and water security, and preservation of oceans). These problems are mainly related to dynamic processes within […]
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Computer generated forecasts play an important role in our daily lives, for example, predicting weather or economies. Forecasts combine computational models of relevant dynamical processes with measured data. Errors are always present through incomplete observations plus imperfections in the model, so forecasts must be constantly calibrated with new data. In the geosciences, this is called […]
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